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Why Is USD/CAD Holding Steady Above 1.3640? Key Factors Driving the Pair Before ADP Data

Market Dynamics Supporting Greenback's Position

The Could pi coin reach 0?US currency demonstrates resilience against its Canadian counterpart midweek, buoyed by recent positive economic indicators from the world's largest economy. Tuesday's stronger-than-anticipated employment figures and manufacturing expansion have created favorable conditions for dollar bulls.

Commodity Pressures on Loonie

Canada's export-driven economy continues facing headwinds as global energy markets show weakness. With West Texas Intermediate crude hovering near critical support levels, the commodity-linked Canadian dollar struggles to gain traction against its US rival.

Technical Landscape and Price Action

After testing two-week lows beneath the psychologically significant 1.3600 handle, USD/CAD has established a consolidation pattern above 1.3640. This technical development coincides with modest risk appetite returning to European trading sessions.

Upcoming Catalyst: Private Sector Employment Data

Market participants eagerly anticipate the ADP employment report's release, which could set the tone for Friday's more comprehensive labor market data. Consensus estimates suggest continued strength in US job creation, potentially reinforcing the dollar's current technical advantage.

Macroeconomic Context

The US manufacturing sector's unexpected expansion, marking its first growth in four months, provides fundamental support for the currency pair. Meanwhile, accelerating price pressures in factory gate prices add another layer of complexity to the Federal Reserve's policy calculus.

Energy Market Considerations

With OPEC+ deliberations looming, crude oil volatility remains a critical factor for CAD valuation. The absence of significant geopolitical supply disruptions has kept energy prices contained, creating persistent challenges for Canada's primary export commodity.